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Market Updates

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May 30, 2023

While we see several long-term tailwinds for big Technology, the durability of this rally is up for debate. Plus we ask whether the Federal Reserve is serious about its 2% inflation target, and suggest diplomatic exchanges among the U.S., Europe and China may mask strategic disagreements.

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May 22, 2023

Elevated inflation and tighter monetary policy may present potential challenges for the classic 60/40 allocation. Plus how America's foreign creditors react to the debt ceiling debate could influence near-term U.S. asset prices, and one of the biggest unknowns is the expectation for bank lending.

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May 15, 2023

A looming projected June 1 debt ceiling X-date leaves open the possibility of a government default. Plus the deteriorating economic backdrop augurs for a larger contraction in Q2 earnings, and inflation is still on a downtrend despite strong April readings.

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May 8, 2023

In both the WWII and coronavirus eras, an interventionist Federal Reserve has facilitated high nominal GDP growth and eventually very high inflation. Plus investors should position for the coming multiyear boom in U.S. infrastructure, and the swift rise and fall of SPACs is proof that fads fade.

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May 1, 2023

Data on periods of high inflation are consistent with our view that this expansion could be running out of steam. Plus globalization metrics suggest Corporate America is becoming more embedded globally, not less, and concerns with agency mortgage-backed securities due to recent bank failures.

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