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Capital Market Outlook

October 27, 2025

IN THIS ISSUE

  • Macro Strategy — On Manufacturing Conditions, Part II: Manufacturing, led by policy initiatives and accelerating technological progress, is shifting to a greater domestic footprint—up the value chain, toward capital-intensive, technology-driven production.

  • Market View — Top of Mind: China, the U.S., and Critical Minerals and Gold-cum-Soaring Sovereign Debt Levels: Geopolitical tensions and sovereign debt levels reinforce our conviction in gold and strategic minerals and metals as portfolio overlays.

  • Thought of the Week — The $1.8 Trillion Question: Where Is the Budget Deficit Headed from Here?: While there's little doubt that America's finances are pressured given an ageing population, interest payments on rising debt and impact of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, we could see a few factors working in Uncle Sam's favor.​

 

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