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Capital Market Outlook

May 26, 2026

IN THIS ISSUE

  • Macro Strategy — The Markets Versus the Experts: Markets are signaling resilient growth, anchored long-term inflation, and strong earnings contradicting stagflation concerns from the Iran-driven energy shock.

  • Market View — Rethinking the Emerging Markets as an Asset Class: Emerging markets are no longer a cohesive asset class due to fragmentation, geopolitical divergence, dollar sensitivity, limited convergence, and increasing concentration, requiring selective and active investment.

  • Thought of the Week — The Drive to "5": $5 Gasoline, 5% Inflation, 5% 10-Year: Rising energy-driven inflation and surging Treasury yields are tightening financial conditions, potentially constraining Federal Reserve easing and increasing risk pressure on Equities.​

 

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