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Capital Market Outlook

February 5, 2024


  • Macro Strategy — Global Economy Landing Softly: The more-resilient-than-expected emerging market economies and government efforts to boost the flailing Chinese economy has also raised confidence in a soft landing at the global level.

  • Market View — Fed Pivot May Provide A Soft Floor For Markets, But Slightly Increases Inflationary Risks: If the Federal Reserve succeeds in achieving a soft landing, that may be positive for risk assets as evidenced by the outperformance of Equities after the mid-1990s soft landing.

  • Thought of the Week — Five Charts on Small-caps: The case for Small-caps is building with the opportunity to play catch up ahead continues.​

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